With a POD after 15 August 1945, I'd like to know how one could get a British Republic. Massive bonus points if 1) that British Republic contains at least 3 of the 4 kingdoms, 2) the House of Windsor still exists, 3) you don't involve any nuclear wars for the POD and 4) the POD is after 1970.
What do you guys think? Ideally I'd like to get the opinion of the Polibrits, of course.
Next to impossible without the Queen or her late father personally becoming deeply unpopular, which is extremely unlikely. It would require one of them to make an epic misjudgment that alienated both the political class and the general public. Its difficult to imagine such a scenario.
People like to get hysterical about Diana, ignoring the fact that according to opinion polls support for the monarchy in the week after Diana's death was 73%. The average is about 70-75% and then jumps around a Jubilee, birth, marriage (except for that of Charles and Camilla's) etc.
https://www.ipsos-mori.com/research...mily-Trends-Monarchy-v-Republic-19932012.aspx
MORI has helpfully compiled a trend poll, which shows the trend since 1993. Its pretty consistent and shows that the monarchy's core audience has stuck with it during the good and bad times.
People like to whine about the Prince of Wales, yet no opinion polls suggest any real sign that republicanism will become a potent force in the UK after the Queen's death. He is more controversial than his mother but he remains popular, not as popular as his mother or sons but then they are arguably the most popular public figures in Britain, so its difficult competition.
Having survived the Diana period, Charles would literally need to be exposed as ordering her murder before the monarchy collapses under him. You might see more overt criticism of the monarchy and the monarch's powers during his reign but your more likely to see a move towards a Swedish style monarchy than removing the whole institution itself, there just isn't the public appetite for it. While Charles's political interference may wind up your average Guardian reader, they are a tiny minority.
You can also see a trend poll which shows how people think on the William vs Charles debate.
https://www.ipsos-mori.com/research...Family-Trends-The-Next-Monarch.aspx?view=wide
Despite William's huge personal popularity, the majority of people still support The Prince of Wales succeeding the Queen.